Skyfall (2012) is to blame for the spike in SR interest.
I suspect my beard will grow also in 10 years from now. So, nothing will change for me.
For the hobby in general? I don't know, but I suspect even more professional commercialism than even now (which exploded IMHO the last few years).
How do you imagine our hobby down the road? Making predictions is something I like in general.
I believe that in a decade from now the niche market will still exist, there will still be demand for higher end/luxury items for the few ones that can afford them.
Being an artisan won't be a trend anymore and many of the current makers will stop their business. Less than a handful of the now famous artisans will still be in. I'd bet that B&M and Stirling would be among them. I don't really see any other. Sorry guys.
Furthermore, I believe that there will be demand for Wolfman razors, on the secondary market, but James won't be making razors anymore, he will be out of business. His current business model is questionable anyway. His razors will be for the elite of the shavers and will change hands for 1k at best.
In addition, most of us will use synthetic brushes and brush makers will slowly stop using badger hairs. Synthetics are the future for sure.
I guess we only are a very small, almost non-existent, percentage among people who shave. We belong to the minority. In the future, this percentage will be even lower. It seems that the demand is already not where it used to be. One of the main reasons why our hobby became more famous the last years is because there was a barbershop trend. I don't see this anymore. Social medias played a major role on this. Their power has no limit.
Oh, I almost forgot it. B&B will still be up and we will be looking forward to exchanging ideas and suggestions.
Most guys seem to complain about the quality and cost of their shaves but do nothing about it. In the last 15 years since the forums have been around the market doesn't seem to have changed much. Its a shame because i think most guys could get as good a shave with a DE and a decent brushless cream or gel than they do withnfheir fusions. I still have some hope that it's possible to mass market a DE razor. The skill isn't much different to a cart and the benefits are huge.
So funny how the age old optimist/pessimist battle rages on....
All through modern commercialism, there exists today a thriving underbelly of craft engagement of all kinds. The very same things that the pessimists will argue to be the downfall of our hobby, I think will encourage it. The internet, access to information, access to cheap production, ingredients, etc., all those things make artisan crafting of any kind easier, not harder. Add to that the Millenial/Gen Y/Gen Z proclivity for artisan crafts, and you have a recipe for a bright future. Just look at tatoos, craft beers, beard grooming product, even hipster boots. The list goes on and on.
Case in point - I'd like to see the traffic patterns and forum usage over the last 10 years. Maybe the Mods can get some analytics to show?
Now, here's some really fun stuff...
Safety Razor and Straight Razor interest today is way above where it was 15 years ago, in terms of interest. For the past 5 years, we've had a slight down turn, but we're still way above where we were in 2004:
View attachment 1028126
Fascinating that interest in Straight Razors is highest in Hungary, with the USA in the #2 spot. But for Safety Razor, interest is highest in Asia, and the USA is ranked 36th in interest.
View attachment 1028130
I used Worldwide geographic targeting, because this is a pretty international forum. But for those interested, the USA market closely resembles the worldwide trends...
View attachment 1028131
So what does all that mean? My read on this is that we have a slight downturn in the past 5 years, but corresponding to the rise of the iPhone, and web technology in general, we have seen a large increase in global and US domestic interest in safety razors and in straight razors. Since 2004/5 interest began to pick up, and is currently double or triple where it was...
I haven't read about 3D printers in several years, I guess they inevitably have made progress. PSA: remember plastic fumes are not your friend.
I'll still be shaving with the same razors I have right now...cant really improve on the tools I already have...
Blades..maybe they will have ones that are perfectly honed and never irritate and stay sharper longer...until then I'll stick with my faves when I find them.
Who knows, they may make big bucks off those "vintage razors" by then.Ten yrs from now my son and two grandsons may be wondering what the heck to do with 60 or so razors. Hope not but...
I think going green will be the future getting glass bottles back, no more carts just plain ole DE razors and blades come as they do now.
It is in the last 30 years where we have been forced to use plastic, with them telling us how good it is for the environment. If you look back we was green, we reused everything including nappy's, milk bottles including pop bottles.
Plastic will faze out big time and as for Communication & fourms it will be all done on video from the back of your arm....
As for shaving brushes we will still have Badger and Boar, but we will lose the Synthetic seeing that is a plastic your soaps will come in a cardboard box or wooden bowl like most do now.